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Al Pacino expecting fourth child at 83

<p dir="ltr">Al Pacino is expecting his fourth child at 83 with his girlfriend Noor Alfallah, 29 who is eight months pregnant.</p> <p dir="ltr">A close friend of the actor revealed that Pacino “could not be happier” and is over the moon at the prospect of welcoming his fourth child with Noor, despite their 54-year age gap.</p> <p dir="ltr">Although the news was unexpected, the close friend denied the rumours claiming that Noor kept the pregnancy a secret for 11 weeks.</p> <p dir="ltr">“If she waited until 11 weeks to tell Al it is because she found out then,” they told the <em>DailyMail</em>.</p> <p dir="ltr">“She's wanted to have a baby for years and Al could not be happier. He loves Noor and the feeling is mutual,” they added.</p> <p dir="ltr">The source also claimed that the couple were not trying for a baby when Noor got pregnant, but it did happen naturally and that “obviously, Al is still very able”.</p> <p dir="ltr">The obvious question is, why did the pair wait for eight months to reveal the pregnancy?</p> <p dir="ltr">According to the source, “Al waited to reveal the pregnancy news until now because they didn't want people hounding them. They are a private couple and would like to keep it that way.”</p> <p dir="ltr">The source also denied the wild allegations that Noor is only dating the <em>Scarface</em> star to take advantage of Pacino's wealth as “complete and utter b******t”.</p> <p dir="ltr">“Not only does Noor come from an extremely wealthy family, but she has also worked to obtain her own wealth,” they added.</p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Images: Getty Images/ Instagram</em></p>

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What to expect at King Charles’s coronation: The details and traditions, explained

<h2>The coronation of King Charles</h2> <p>All eyes will be on England for King Charles’s coronation this spring – and not just across the pond. Just as millions around the world watched the UK’s biggest royal weddings and Queen Elizabeth’s funeral, we’ll be doing the same with this event. But we might have a few more questions than our British friends about all the pomp and circumstance. Where do these traditions come from, and how are they being adapted for a new monarch, the first to be crowned in Britain in 70 years?</p> <p>“The coronation has traditional, religious and symbolic significance,” says royal expert Nicoletta Gullace, an associate professor of history at the University of New Hampshire who specialises in modern British history. “It is the moment the crown is placed upon the king’s head, and it signifies Charles’s authority in a long line of rulers ostensibly going back to the time of William the Conqueror in 1066.”</p> <p>In addition to the ceremony itself, there will be plenty of festivities – but not quite to the extent we’ve seen at other royal events, including Queen Elizabeth’s coronation back in 1953. “Charles wants to have a ‘slimmed-down monarchy,’ so he is trying to avoid the appearance of extravagance,” Gullace says. Still, no one does royal celebrations like the Brits, so no doubt the festivities will be filled with all the grandeur we’ve come to expect.</p> <p>Let’s delve into what you can expect from King Charles III’s coronation, from the timeline of events to the history of the rituals and the crown jewels, as well as the potential snubs and drama. (Harry and Meghan, we’re looking at you!) Plus, find out who from the British royal family tree will be there, what Queen Camilla’s coronation crown will be like and if King Charles III’s role in government will change after the big day.</p> <h3>When is King Charles’s coronation?</h3> <p>King Charles’s coronation date is Saturday, May 6, 2023. “Plans for the coronation of Charles III and his Queen Consort Camilla have been underway for a long time under the code name Operation Golden Orb,” says historian and author Tony McMahon.</p> <h3>How long will it take for Charles to be coronated?</h3> <p>“The coronation will be much shorter than the three-hour royal marathon Queen Elizabeth II endured,” McMahon says. “There’s clearly a sense that attention spans are not what they once were. Shorter will be better.” Expect the ceremony to last an hour or two max. The celebratory events, however, will continue through Monday, May 8.</p> <p>Interestingly, May 6 is also the birthday of Prince Harry’s son, Archie, who will be turning 4 years old. It is also the date that the late Princess Margaret (Queen Elizabeth’s sister) married Antony Armstrong-Jones, as well as the wedding anniversary of Camilla’s daughter, Laura.</p> <h3>Why did the royal family wait so long to have a coronation?</h3> <p>It’s a tradition that dates back centuries. “Shortly after the previous king or queen dies, the new monarch is proclaimed at St. James’s Palace and throughout the kingdom, but there is a gap between that event and the coronation,” McMahon says. “That doesn’t mean we are without a sovereign. The Latin phrase rex nunquam moritur applies in these circumstances, which broadly translates as ‘the king never dies.’ So, we have a monarch – it’s just that a crown has yet to be popped on their head.”</p> <p>Queen Elizabeth’s coronation was 18 months after the death of her father, so the gap between Charles’s accession to the throne upon her death on September 8, 2022, and his coronation isn’t unusual or particularly long, McMahon says. In fact, it’s quite a bit shorter, at just around eight months.</p> <p>“The reason for a gap between the accession and coronation is the requirement for a period of respectful mourning, and on the more practical side, getting things organised for the big day,” McMahon says. “If anything, coronations have become bigger logistical nightmares [starting] in the 20th century. Getting guests to Westminster Abbey from all over the world was not a concern for a medieval monarch.” Queen Elizabeth’s coronation in 1953 was the first to be televised, which added considerations for cameras, lighting and audio.</p> <h3>Will the coronation be televised?</h3> <p>Absolutely. Prince Philip, Queen Elizabeth’s husband, famously championed televising her coronation, and major royal events have been standard viewing ever since. In addition to the BBC in England, many international news channels will likely televise the event. (No official announcements have yet been made.) You’ll probably also be able to watch it online via live streaming.</p> <p>But King Charles’s coronation probably won’t come close to the recent royal weddings in terms of viewership numbers.</p> <p>“Given the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee last summer, her extremely long funeral event and all of Prince Harry’s Netflix specials and book talks, people may be royaled out,” Gullace says. King Charles also doesn’t have the same popularity as the younger royals or the late queen.</p> <h2>What will happen at the coronation?</h2> <p>The coronation isn’t just a political event – it’s also a religious ceremony. “King Charles is literally being anointed as God’s chosen ruler,” McMahon says. “That may seem weird to us today in the 21st century, but it’s still what legitimises having a monarch.” At the ceremony, Charles will be affirmed as the head of the Church of England, and his power as the symbolic ruler of the realm will be solidified, Gullace says. “It is a solemn occasion, but it will be accompanied by a festive public holiday, a pop concert, a light show at Windsor Castle, extended pub hours and community luncheons,” she says. Here’s a full timeline of the events.</p> <h3>The procession to Westminster Abbey</h3> <p>From Buckingham Palace, “King Charles and Queen Consort Camilla will process to Westminster Abbey through central London,” McMahon says. This is known as the King’s Procession. Westminster Abbey, by the way, also hosted Queen Elizabeth and Prince Philip’s wedding, Prince William and Kate Middleton’s wedding and the queen’s funeral – and it is the spot for royal coronations. “The first coronation at Westminster Abbey was in 1066, when William the Conqueror [who invaded England from Normandy] was crowned king,” says royal expert and author Marlene Koenig. “Charles will be the 40th monarch crowned at the abbey.”</p> <p>Fun fact: Only two kings since 1066 were not crowned – Edward V, who reigned for two months in 1483 before mysteriously vanishing, and Edward VIII, who abdicated in 1936. Having King Charles’s coronation here connects him with his ancestors through the ritual and the place where it will be held, Gullace says.</p> <h2>The coronation ceremony</h2> <p>The ceremony itself has been largely the same since medieval times. “The service is defined in a medieval Latin manuscript called the Liber Regalis, basically a manual for a coronation, which is first and foremost a religious service,” Koenig says. The Archbishop of Canterbury, the head of the Church of England, will anoint King Charles with holy oil, and he will swear to uphold the Christian faith and the laws of England.</p> <p>After taking the oath and being anointed, Charles will be given the orb, coronation ring and sceptre, which symbolise his divinely ordained role as king of the United Kingdom. He will then be crowned – but not quite in the same way as the last king. “Back in 1937, the late Queen Elizabeth’s father King George VI was [also] crowned as Emperor of India, King of the Union of South Africa, the dominions of Canada and Australia, and all the colonies in the empire,” McMahon says. “Charles will be king of a lot less. He may be the last British head of state in some countries where sentiment is growing for a president.”</p> <h3>A representation of other faiths</h3> <p>This will be a change from previous coronations. “King Charles III is the head of the Church of England, but he’s always been keen to position himself as a royal for all faiths,” he says. “There are going to be more representatives of faiths this time round, other than the Church of England. So, expect to see leaders from the Muslim, Hindu, Jewish, Sikh and Roman Catholic faiths playing some kind of role.”</p> <h2>Prince William’s tribute to the king</h2> <p>Only Prince William, as heir to the throne, will pay homage to the king, but none of the other royal dukes will, as they did in previous coronations. “Charles scrapped this to avoid Andrew and Harry having a role in the coronation,” Koenig says. (Charles’s brother Prince Andrew, Duke of York, was involved in a sexual-assault scandal and stripped of his royal duties; and Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex, relinquished his royal duties.)</p> <p>However, the decision also excludes the other royal dukes, the Duke of Gloucester and the Duke of Kent, from paying homage. Prince Edward, Charles’s youngest brother, who was just given the title Duke of Edinburgh, will also unfortunately be left out because of the new rule.</p> <p>What does paying homage entail? “William will say, ‘I, William, Prince of Wales, do become your liege man of life and limb, and of earthly worship; and faith and truth I will bear unto you, to live and die against all manner of folks. So help me God,’” Koenig says.</p> <h2>Camilla’s anointing</h2> <p>“Camilla, queen consort, will also be anointed with holy oil and crowned,” McMahon says. Interestingly, only female consorts are crowned at coronations, not male consorts. “We are used to the image of Queen Elizabeth II sitting alone in 1953 while Prince Philip watched, but this coronation will see two crownings, not just one,” McMahon explains. “Camilla will be crowned in a similar way to the queen mother in 1937, when she sat alongside King George VI.”</p> <p>Although public sentiment has shifted in Camilla’s favour over the last few decades, since the death of Charles’s first wife, Princess Diana, there’s still a major question remaining. “One mystery will be whether Charles dares to drop the word consort from Camilla’s royal title, making her queen of the realm,” Gullace says. As a second wife, she didn’t automatically receive that title.</p> <p>Camilla’s family may also have a role in the ceremony. “There were reports that the queen’s five grandchildren would carry the canopy, normally carried by duchesses, for the anointing, but this has not been confirmed,” Koenig says. “Her two children and son-in-law will, of course, have prominent seating.”</p> <h3>The procession to Buckingham Palace</h3> <p>“The coronation will be followed by a procession back to Buckingham Palace,” McMahon says. Called the Coronation Procession, this ceremonial parade will be a larger event than the one that brought Charles and Camilla to the abbey. The newly crowned couple will also be joined by other members of the royal family.</p> <h2>The balcony appearance</h2> <p>Next up: the grand finale. “It’s all rounded off with the obligatory balcony appearance and lots of waving to the adoring crowds below,” McMahon says. The big question: Who will be on the balcony? As Charles wants to streamline the monarchy, it’s likely only the working royals who will join the king and queen, as with the Queen’s Jubilee in 2022. This will include William, Kate and their children, Charles’s sister Princess Anne, and Prince Edward and his wife, Sophie. Several of Queen Elizabeth’s cousins, including the previously mentioned Dukes of Gloucester and Kent, who are also working royals, are likely to appear as well.</p> <p>“People will probably want to see who is on the balcony when the Red Arrows have their fly-over, but the assurance that everything will be ‘slimmed down’ and economical is unlikely to raise expectations,” Gullace says.</p> <h2>Coronation weekend</h2> <p>The fun’s not over yet! If Saturday marks the formal, solemn occasion, Sunday is the day to party. “On Sunday, May 7, there will be a dazzling coronation concert at Windsor Castle with big-name rock, pop and music stars,” McMahon says. The concert will lead up to “Lighting Up the Nation,” which will feature illuminated famous locations around the UK. “As was the case with the late queen’s jubilees, expect a surfeit of laser and drone displays, which are fast becoming a hallmark of major royal occasions,” McMahon says. “Plus, the more traditional fireworks and lots of military bands crashing cymbals, banging drums and droning bagpipes.”</p> <p>Throughout the weekend, people will also be organising street parties called Coronation Big Lunches in their communities to connect with their neighbours and partake in the revelry. In part to facilitate this, Monday, May 8, will be a holiday in the UK. In addition, “people are being encouraged to do good deeds in their communities, described as ‘Big Help Out’ activities,” McMahon says. “The idea is to make the coronation something more community-focused as opposed to a display of aristocratic baubles.”</p> <h3>What royal traditions will King Charles’s coronation incorporate?</h3> <p>All the royal coronation regalia hold special significance. These items are used to display the longevity of the ritual, Gullace explains. “The big day will see the coronation regalia brought out of the glass cases and put to their intended use, instead of being gawped at by tourists in the Tower of London,” McMahon says. And while it’s not part of the royal coronation traditions, King Charles will probably wear the ring on his pinky that he always wears.</p> <h2>The coronation chair</h2> <p>King Charles won’t sit on the actual throne until after he is crowned. For most of the ceremony, he will be perched on this 700-year-old wooden chair. Made for King Edward I in 1296, it is normally kept at Windsor Castle’s St. George’s Chapel. The chair originally contained the legendary Stone of Scone, a large rock that was seized from Scotland. “In 1996, the government agreed to return the stone to Scotland,” Koenig says. “The agreement to return the Stone of Scone more than 700 years after it was taken by Edward I included the proviso that it would be brought to London for the coronation of a monarch.” The stone will be reunited with the chair for King Charles’s coronation, for the first time since 1996.</p> <h3>The crown</h3> <p>King Charles will wear the same crown as the queen did at her coronation. Only used at the actual moment of crowning, St Edward’s Crown is a “copy” made in 1661 for King Charles II, as the earlier medieval crown was destroyed when the monarchy was briefly overthrown by a rebellion led by Oliver Cromwell in the 17th century. Made of gold and set with gemstones including rubies, sapphires and amethysts, King Charles’s coronation crown weighs in at a whopping 2.2kg.</p> <p>“Charles III will be the seventh monarch to wear it, and this will be the only time he wears this crown,” Koenig says. “For the rest of the service, he will wear the Imperial State Crown, which was made for King George VI’s coronation and last seen on Queen Elizabeth II’s casket.”</p> <h3>The coronation spoon</h3> <p>This medieval utensil isn’t something the king will be eating with! “The coronation spoon is the oldest crown jewel, as it survived Cromwell’s destruction of royal regalia,” McMahon says. Luckily, it was sold instead of being melted down with all the other royal gold. “It dates back to the 12th century and is used to anoint the king with holy oil – the most sacred part of the whole ceremony.” The spoon is the only piece of royal goldsmith’s work still in existence from the 12th century; it was later set with pearls when it was returned to the monarchy, post-Cromwell.</p> <h2>The orb and sceptre</h2> <p>These items represent the sovereignty of the monarch, and both date from 1661, like St Edward’s Crown. “The sceptre is a magnificent piece of bling that includes the largest colourless cut diamond in the world, one of several king-sized diamonds cut from the mega Cullinan Diamond discovered in 1905 in present-day South Africa,” McMahon says. The diamond was added to the sceptre in 1911. Representing the Christian world, the orb will be held by the monarch in his right hand. Topped with a cross, it contains diamonds, rubies, emeralds, sapphires and pearls.</p> <h3>Camilla’s crown</h3> <p>“Camilla will be the first consort in several centuries to not have a new crown for the coronation,” Koenig says. “She will wear Queen Mary’s coronation crown, the consort of George V, Charles’s great-grandparents.” Created for the 1911 coronation, the crown will be altered somewhat for Camilla. According to McMahon, three of the Cullinan diamonds will be inserted and some of the crown’s arches will be removed to create a different look.</p> <p>Notably, the revised crown will leave out another stone that was in the original 1911 version: the supposedly cursed Koh-i-Nur diamond, which was taken from India in 1849 and seen as a symbol of conquest. This is an attempt by Charles and Camilla to distance themselves from the British monarchy’s history of colonialism. However, the Cullinan diamond is not without its own controversy: It was a “gift” from South Africa, another former British colony.</p> <h2>The coronation emblem</h2> <p>Charles has a new emblem for his coronation, which will be used on flags, online materials and other branded merchandise for the event. Created by British designer Sir Jony Ive, the emblem represents Charles’s longstanding love of nature and conservation, and incorporates the British symbols of St. Edward’s Crown and the Union Jack flag’s red, white and blue colour scheme. Using illustrations of flowers from the four nations of the United Kingdom, the emblem features the rose of England, the thistle of Scotland, the daffodil of Wales and the shamrock of Northern Ireland.</p> <h3>The pomp and circumstance</h3> <p>Although the coronation has followed the same basic ceremony for a thousand years, the grandeur we associate with the event is a relatively recent tradition. “The type of grandiose public pageantry and national holiday we enjoy today dates back to the late 19th century,” Gullace says. “At this time, the palace became adept at putting on magnificent public spectacles to enhance the prestige of the crown.”</p> <h2>Who will perform at the coronation?</h2> <p>During the ceremony itself on May 6, the music will feature 12 new orchestral, choral and organ pieces commissioned for the event – including the coronation anthem from famed Broadway composer Andrew Lloyd Webber. Expect Greek Orthodox music as well, as a tribute to Charles’s father, Prince Philip, who was born in Greece.</p> <p>The party really gets started, though, with a pop concert the next day at Windsor Castle, which will be broadcast on the BBC; 5,000 pairs of tickets will also be released to the public and drawn by lottery. But the lineup hasn’t yet been announced, and Charles reportedly has had issues securing entertainers for the event. Adele, Harry Styles, Ed Sheeran and the Spice Girls all declined the palace’s request to perform. Some of the artists said they had conflicts or were on tour, but several top choices, including Adele, were reported not to have gigs that day, Gullace notes.</p> <p>In addition to famous musicians, “there will also be some singing by the Coronation Choir, created from community groups and amateur singers reflecting the UK’s diverse population,” McMahon says. The choral group will include refugee choirs, LGBTQ+ singers and deaf signing choirs.</p> <h3>Who will attend the royal coronation?</h3> <p>An astonishing 8,000 people attended Queen Elizabeth’s coronation – even though Westminster Abbey only seats about 2,200 people, McMahon says. Extra grandstands with tiered seating needed to be built to fit everyone. But that won’t be the case for Charles, who is keeping costs top of mind. “This time, the numbers will be kept down to around 2,000 – so, no massive building work for this coronation,” McMahon says. So, who will snag a seat?</p> <h3>Heads of state</h3> <p>“We can expect the ceremony to be attended by nobility, heads of state, eminent clergy and likely a smattering of ordinary Britons who have contributed in exceptional ways to British well-being, such as nurses, military personnel and activists promoting causes dear to Charles,” Gullace says.</p> <p>The royalty of Europe – and the world – will likely show up, including the royal houses of Norway, Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain and Luxembourg, McMahon says. “Prince Albert and Princess Charlene of Monaco were the first Euro-royals to RSVP,” he says. “From Japan, Crown Prince Akishino and Crown Princess Kiko will also be there.” Political leaders of the Commonwealth nations (which used to be ruled by Britain) – including Nigeria, Australia, Canada, Bangladesh, Malta and the Bahamas – will also attend, according to McMahon.</p> <h3>A few lucky citizens</h3> <p>Will any regular people get to attend the coronation? Yes – but only in certain circumstances. “Up until the start of February 2023, members of the public were invited to apply to be at the coronation if they could prove that a relative had taken part in a previous coronation. This is an ancient, 700-year-old tradition,” McMahon says. “They were told to apply to the newly created Coronation Claims Office. Back in 1953, a body called the Court of Claims considered similar requests.”</p> <h2>The royal family</h2> <p>Of course, the various members of royal family, including Queen Elizabeth’s grandchildren, will be there, and it’s incredibly important for the monarchy to present a strong, unified front. As the next in line to the throne, Prince William will be front and centre in the audience, and as noted earlier, he will also be part of the ceremony. The big question, of course is whether Prince Harry will show up. The Duke and Duchess of Sussex have received a formal invitation, and some sources say the couple is working out the terms of their attendance – including whether they will get to appear on the balcony of Buckingham Palace, which is now supposed to be a privilege for working royals.</p> <p>McMahon’s prediction? “They’ve hardly endeared themselves to the royal family,” he says, referencing the couple’s recent Netflix series and Harry’s tell-all memoir, Spare, which were both critical of Harry’s family and the institution of the monarchy. “They will either opt to miss the big day or, if they turn up, they won’t get front-row seats. The royals are experts at calculated snubs, and the Sussexes will no doubt sense the lingering displeasure of ‘The Firm’ if they make an appearance.”</p> <h3>Who won’t attend the royal coronation?</h3> <p>Besides the question of Meghan and Harry, the limited seating may mean that some of Britain’s nobility will be excluded from the ceremony guest list. “Not all members of the aristocracy will be invited,” Gullace says, “and those who are not will feel snubbed.”</p> <p>Prince William’s older children, Prince George and Princess Charlotte, will likely attend, with George possibly having a role in the ceremony, since he’s the future heir to the throne. But 4-year-old Prince Louis didn’t attend the queen’s funeral service, so it’s possible he might skip the coronation as well. Harry and Meghan’s children, the newly titled Prince Archie and Princess Lilibet, have reportedly not been invited (at least not yet).</p> <p>One additional question mark is US President Joe Biden. Although an anonymous Time magazine source claimed Biden is “unlikely” to attend, the White House confirmed to People magazine that “the US will be represented at the coronation,” but declined to say more “regarding presidential travel or regarding a potential delegation at this time.” If Biden himself won’t be there, someone else (maybe First Lady Jill Biden?) will go in his stead.</p> <h3>What will happen after the coronation?</h3> <p>After the coronation and the celebratory concert the next day, “there will be a bank holiday on Monday, with the option to get involved in parades, street parties and other celebratory events,” McMahon says. “Some may simply choose to have a nice day off.” A bank holiday is basically a national holiday in which banks and businesses are closed, and it will be seen as a treat from the new king to his people.</p> <p>But what about the new monarch and his family: Will King Charles’s role change in any way? “No one’s role will change – this is a formal service where the king and queen are crowned,” Koenig says. But plans have already been put in place to shore up the roles and importance of working members of “The Firm,” including Prince Edward, Princess Anne and Prince William.</p> <p>Plus, Charles will try to be a “modern” monarch, pursuing serious public service and causes such as environmental conservation. He’ll want to be seen as useful, practical and restrained, so he’s unlikely to have any other flashy events like the coronation anytime soon. “Charles will be 75 in November and could have a service of Thanksgiving, but with the coronation in the same year, perhaps not,” Koenig says. “Apart from state dinners and the annual Trooping the Colour ceremonies [on June 17], there will be no other event similar to the coronation.”</p> <p>Due to his probable short reign, he’s unlikely to leave the same mark as Queen Elizabeth’s legacy. But he’ll want to be remembered as the king who successfully transferred the monarchy to the next generation of the 21st century and beyond.</p> <p><em>Image credits: Getty Images</em></p> <p><em>This article originally appeared on <a href="https://www.readersdigest.co.nz/culture/what-to-expect-at-king-charless-coronation-the-details-and-traditions-explained?pages=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reader's Digest</a>. </em></p>

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"Thermonuclear bad": Millions of deaths expected in China's Covid wave

<p>Experts have warned deaths will be "in the millions" as China faces an unprecedented Covid wave, which is set to become "thermonuclear bad".</p> <p>The most recent wave of the infections began after Chinese President Xi Jinping finally began to relax his "zero-Covid" policy, which has seen the country under heavy lockdowns for months at a time. </p> <p>Within days of the restrictions easing, Covid cases began to explode, with hospitals already “completely overwhelmed” and bodies reportedly piling up at morgues.</p> <p>Public health officials in China have admitted it is possible that 800 million people could be struck down by Covid in the coming months.</p> <p>However, the nation has officially recorded just two deaths since reopening, although there are now widespread reports that the true figure is far higher, with workers at the Beijing Dongjiao Funeral Parlour – the venue tasked with handling Covid deaths – claiming they were overwhelmed with bodies in recent days.</p> <p>The claims have sparked rumours of a government cover up, with international experts sounding the alarm over a tragedy in the making.</p> <p>Harvard-trained US epidemiologist Eric Feigl-Ding recently shared a video on Twitter purportedly showing rows of seriously ill Covid patients crammed into a clearly stretched hospital, with some seen lying on the floor or slumped in chairs, warning that things were getting “thermonuclear bad”.</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> <p dir="ltr" lang="en">⚠️THERMONUCLEAR BAD—Hospitals completely overwhelmed in China ever since restrictions dropped. Epidemiologist estimate &gt;60% of 🇨🇳 &amp; 10% of Earth’s population likely infected over next 90 days. Deaths likely in the millions—plural. This is just the start—🧵<a href="https://t.co/VAEvF0ALg9">pic.twitter.com/VAEvF0ALg9</a></p> <p>— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) <a href="https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1604748747640119296?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 19, 2022</a></p></blockquote> <p>“Hospitals completely overwhelmed in China ever since restrictions dropped,” he posted, adding that epidemiologists estimate more than 60 per cent of China and 10 per cent of the Earth’s population is likely to be infected with the virus over the next 90 days.</p> <p>“Deaths likely in the millions – plural. This is just the start,” he posted.</p> <p>His claims were backed up by a recent forecast by health data analysts Airfinity, which predicted China faces between 1.3 and 2.1 million deaths between now and the end of March.</p> <p>Fellow epidemiologist Ben Cowling agreed with the terrifying figures, telling <a href="https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/12/15/1143002538/china-appears-to-be-facing-what-could-be-the-world-s-largest-coronavirus-outbrea" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NPR</a> the surge is “going to come very fast, unfortunately”, and predicting that “hospitals are going to come under pressure possibly by the end of this month”.</p> <p>Dr Eric Feigl-Ding went on to explain that nobody would be immune to the fallout from China’s latest crisis, predicting that the world would soon be hit by severe shortages of crucial medical supplies including antibiotics and fever medications.</p> <p>“What happens in China doesn’t stay in China — Wuhan was our lesson three years ago. The global fallout of this 2022-2023 wave will not be small,” he warned, adding that he believed the “global economic fallout from China’s new mega tsunami wave will be ugly”.</p> <p><em>Image credits: Twitter</em></p>

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Expectation vs reality: Reporters share inside look at what cruises are like now

<p dir="ltr">Four reporters have shared their experiences on some of the most popular cruising lines - revealing that their expectations weren’t quite met by the reality of their trip.</p> <p dir="ltr">For Joey Hadden, who booked her first ever cruise on the Royal Caribbean’s Wonder of the Seas, her sessions of relaxing in the sun came with unexpected crowds and difficulties in finding a chair.</p> <p dir="ltr">“I spent more time waiting in lines than I had anticipated. And I saw much of the world from behind other people's heads,” she wrote of her experience in <em><a href="https://www.insider.com/what-its-like-to-go-on-a-cruise-now-photos-2022-10#and-as-she-explored-more-of-the-ship-during-her-weeklong-stay-she-was-surprised-to-find-that-even-the-worlds-largest-cruise-ship-felt-overcrowded-at-times-6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Insider</a></em>.</p> <p dir="ltr">She shared that when she first boarded the ship and excitedly went to watch the ocean as they sailed away from the port, that tall, thick glass and not being able to find a spot to stand stopped her from doing so.</p> <p dir="ltr">Fellow <em>Insider </em>reporter Monica Humphries said her experience with crowds aboard Carnival Vista, which was at partial capacity during her trip in July 2021, saw her waiting in long lines to disembark at each port and for help from the service desk.</p> <p><span id="docs-internal-guid-34a72885-7fff-8bfa-d8da-1752b0965c73"></span></p> <p dir="ltr">Buffets were another source of contention and crowds for the two reporters, with Humphries also finding that issues with how food was labelled meant she accidentally ate meat twice despite asking what was in her food due to being pescatarian.</p> <blockquote class="instagram-media" style="background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);" data-instgrm-captioned="" data-instgrm-permalink="https://www.instagram.com/p/Ci2sCi_OmYu/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" data-instgrm-version="14"> <div style="padding: 16px;"> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="padding: 19% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;"> </div> <div style="padding-top: 8px;"> <div style="color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;">View this post on Instagram</div> </div> <div style="padding: 12.5% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;"> <div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: 8px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: auto;"> <div style="width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;"> </div> </div> <p style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/Ci2sCi_OmYu/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A post shared by Amanda Krause (@amandalynn_14)</a></p> </div> </blockquote> <p dir="ltr">Mikhaila Friel, who sailed on the Queen Elizabeth, made the common mistake of sitting by herself on her first night in the dining room - not realising that wherever you sit becomes your table for the rest of the cruise.</p> <p dir="ltr">Surprising temperatures were another common experience, with Friel, Hadden, and Amanda Krause, who travelled on Disney Cruise Line’s Wish, finding that they hadn’t packed enough warm clothes.</p> <p dir="ltr">“Europe in the fall can be pretty chilly, so I wore a coat during my excursions in Amsterdam. However, I wish I'd brought a larger selection of warmer clothes and accessories to wear on outdoor areas of the ship that were affected by the wind, something I hadn't considered,” Friel wrote. </p> <p dir="ltr">“A woolly hat and a pair of gloves certainly wouldn't have gone amiss.”</p> <p dir="ltr">Krause, who had never travelled by ship before, hadn’t expected the chill that came from the cold air-conditioning inside the ship and wished she had brought warmer clothes to avoid shivering at restaurants and bars, as well as in the Walt Disney theatre.</p> <p dir="ltr">While they reported having an enjoyable time during their cruise experiences, each of the travellers encountered hiccoughs and disappointments that made them all the wiser.</p> <p dir="ltr"><span id="docs-internal-guid-f0becb41-7fff-b1b7-92ae-503f52e12a06"></span></p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Image: Getty Images</em></p>

Cruising

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“We’ve been expecting you”: Daniel Craig receives royal honour

<p dir="ltr">Daniel Craig has been awarded one of the highest royal honours - the same one held by the character he is most well-known for playing: James Bond.</p> <p dir="ltr">Craig was appointed a Companion of the Order of St Michael and St George (CMG) during an investiture ceremony at Windsor Castle on Tuesday.</p> <p dir="ltr">In Ian Fleming’s Bond novel, <em>From Russia With Love</em>, a Soviet spy chief notes that 007 received the honour in 1953, and that it’s “an award usually given only on retirement from the Secret Service”.</p> <p dir="ltr">Outside of fiction, spies aren’t the only recipients of the honour, with diplomats and Brits working overseas also receiving it in recognition of their services to the UK “internationally”.</p> <p><span id="docs-internal-guid-478ce96c-7fff-9a7f-a77e-852543e43824"></span></p> <p dir="ltr">Craig, who holds citizenship in the US and is listed on the Investiture roll as being from New York, received the CMG in recognition of his service to film and theatre in the 2022 New Year Honours.</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> <p dir="ltr" lang="en">We’ve been expecting you…</p> <p>🎖️The Princess Royal presents Daniel Craig with The Order of St Michael and St George - the same honour held by his character James Bond - in recognition of his outstanding contribution to film and theatre. <a href="https://t.co/X20TP6BogL">pic.twitter.com/X20TP6BogL</a></p> <p>— The Royal Family (@RoyalFamily) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoyalFamily/status/1582319162307018752?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 18, 2022</a></p></blockquote> <p dir="ltr">He was presented with the medal during Tuesday’s ceremony by Princess Anne, with the royal family sharing a photo of the pair on social media with the playful caption, “We’ve been expecting you”.</p> <p dir="ltr">After 15 years, Craig ended his time as the martini-slinging spy in 2021, starring in the film <em>No Time To Die</em>.</p> <p dir="ltr">As for who will take the reins after Craig, Bond producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson told <em><a href="https://www.empireonline.com/movies/news/bond-producers-barbara-broccoli-and-michael-g-wilson-on-the-fate-and-future-of-007/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Empire</a></em> that <em>No Time To Die</em> wasn’t the end of the story for 007 - but it could take some time to find the actor’s replacement.</p> <p dir="ltr">"When you change the actor you have to reimagine the direction the film's gonna go in. When you hire an actor, you're hoping you're going to spend a decade at least with them and make four or five or six films with them,” Broccoli said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“It's not just flicking through <em>Spotlight</em> and saying, 'Oh, there's a guy who's 6'1"' We're going to take our time. We want to get a sense of where we want to go with the series and we want to do that before we bring anybody else on.”</p> <p dir="ltr"><span id="docs-internal-guid-d8cb95c6-7fff-c6e0-95a1-43d9141b8e48"></span></p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Image: @RoyalFamily (Twitter)</em></p>

Movies

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What to expect on your first date

<p>Whether you’ve been dipping your toe into the dating pool regularly or it’s your very first time back on the scene, meeting someone new can be nerve wracking at best and terrifying at worst. With increasing numbers of people over 50 getting back into the dating game, it’s fair to assume that you or someone you know may be meeting people that they’ve found online or through mutual acquaintances. Here’s what to expect and how to handle your first date.</p> <ol> <li><strong>Expect to feel edgy –</strong> Meeting someone new may make you feel like a teenager again but try and keep a handle on the jitters. Becoming two overwhelmed with nerves may mean that you either cloud your personality or struggle to pay proper attention to the other person. The best thing you can be is open, honest and yourself. And remember, it’s just a first date, not an arranged marriage.</li> <li><strong>Trust your gut –</strong> Our instincts are often downplayed when it comes to the dating game. Conventional wisdom suggests we need a number of dates to assess the viability of a relationship. While this may be true for those in their late teens, it discounts experience and that indefinable sense of connection that comes when you meet someone you just click with. Trust your instincts. Likewise, if something feels off, don’t brush that inkling away, it’s probably warning you in advance that you’re better off steering clear.</li> <li><strong>Expect and anticipate the truth –</strong> It would be short sighted to expect that most of those aged in the 50s and 60s who have re-entered the dating game wouldn’t have some form of baggage. Being open and honest about your past and current circumstances is imperative for starting a relationship on a solid ground of truth.</li> <li><strong>Expect (and demand) respect –</strong> If you feel as if the person you’re meeting doesn’t quite “get” you or, worse still, is patronising, say sayonara before the second course. There is absolutely excuse for this kind of behaviour and if it’s being exhibited on a first date, it’s a sign of the kind of person you want to avoid.</li> <li><strong>Expect to have things in common –</strong> While the old adage talks about opposites attracting, research has found that we are much more likely to end up with someone who’s interests, likes and dislikes are similar to our own. Of course some differences are to be expected and should be encouraged as it’ll keep things interesting but similarities in moral code and beliefs helps form a solid foundation.</li> </ol> <p><em>Image: Getty</em></p>

Relationships

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You could visit the Queen’s residences sooner than expected

<p dir="ltr">In his first major announcement as a monarch, King Charles III has revealed he will be reopening the Queen’s former residences to the public - and it’s sooner than you might expect.</p> <p dir="ltr">On Thursday, the Palace of Holyroodhouse, the Queen’s Gallery at Buckingham Palace, and the Queen’s Gallery in Edinburgh will be reopened to visitors following the ten-day period of national mourning for Queen Elizabeth II.</p> <p dir="ltr">However, the late monarch’s home of Windsor Castle will remain closed until Thursday, September 29, potentially due to the royal family continuing their mourning period for another week after the Queen’s funeral.</p> <p><span id="docs-internal-guid-1bd59aeb-7fff-b40c-aa50-d4c8e5d09429"></span></p> <p dir="ltr">The Royal Collection Trust has confirmed that the State Rooms and Royal Mews at Buckingham Palace - which is set to become King Charles III’s new London home - won’t reopen this year.</p> <blockquote class="instagram-media" style="background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);" data-instgrm-captioned="" data-instgrm-permalink="https://www.instagram.com/p/CiuShGctuI_/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" data-instgrm-version="14"> <div style="padding: 16px;"> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="padding: 19% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;"> </div> <div style="padding-top: 8px;"> <div style="color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;">View this post on Instagram</div> </div> <div style="padding: 12.5% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;"> <div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: 8px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: auto;"> <div style="width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;"> </div> </div> <p style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/CiuShGctuI_/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A post shared by Royal Collection Trust (@royalcollectiontrust)</a></p> </div> </blockquote> <p dir="ltr">It comes after the commemorative Platinum Jubilee displays at the royal residences were permanently closed following Queen Elizabeth II’s death.</p> <p dir="ltr">The exhibition Masterpieces from Buckingham Palace, currently on display at the Queen’s Gallery, will also be extended until Monday, October 31.</p> <p dir="ltr">It is understood that King Charles III may open more of Buckingham Palace to the public to increase revenue which will help pay for the reservicing of the home.</p> <p dir="ltr">“He will use Buckingham Palace because he knows that is his duty,” a royal aide told The Telegraph.</p> <p dir="ltr">“But he might choose to use fewer rooms and open up more of the building to the public.”</p> <p dir="ltr">It has also been suggested that the 73-year-old could gift Balmoral Castle to Scotland in the near future, making the Queen’s formerly private home open to the public all year round.</p> <p dir="ltr">As well as supporting his plans to slim down the monarchy and increase revenue, royal biographer Penny Junor told the UK newspaper the move would likely be a bid to reduce maintenance costs as well.</p> <p dir="ltr">“I think he might bring in more income from the royal assets because he is quite an entrepreneur,” she said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“If he allowed more visitors into Balmoral that would be a good earner.”</p> <p dir="ltr"><span id="docs-internal-guid-70fdc6ee-7fff-fe76-db5a-6954522a5d75"></span></p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Images: @royalcollectiontrust (Instagram)</em></p>

Real Estate

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The largest commercial communications array ever has just launched. Expect to see it – it’s huge and bright

<p>On the weekend SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket launched a giant satellite into space.</p> <p>Called BlueWalker 3, it’s a prototype by American company <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ast-spacemobile-announces-bluewalker-3-123100434.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AST SpaceMobile</a>, which is to create a space-based mobile broadband network. This is only one of multiple satellites planned for the SpaceMobile constellation – <a href="https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/bluewalker-3.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">some even bigger than BlueWalker 3.</a></p> <p>“The reason why our satellite is large is because in order to communicate with a low-power, low internal strength phone, you just need a large antenna on one side with a lot of power, and so that’s a critical part of our infrastructure,” <a href="https://www.space.com/spacex-bluewalker-3-starlink-satellites-launch-success" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AST SpaceMobile Chief Strategy Officer Scott Wisniewski told Space.com.</a></p> <p>“We think that’s really important for communicating directly with regular handsets, with no change to the handset, with no extra burdens on the user.”</p> <p>Although this is potentially exciting for those who need that connectivity, astronomers are concerned about just how big and bright this satellite will be.</p> <p><a href="https://www.newscientist.com/article/2337336-huge-satellite-could-outshine-all-stars-and-planets-in-the-night-sky/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A New Scientist report</a> has even suggested that the satellite “could outshine all stars and planets in the night sky”.</p> <p>This is because the satellite is huge and reflective. Once the satellite unfurls – which it will do in the next few weeks – the antenna will measure 64m<sup>2</sup>.</p> <div class="newsletter-box"> <div id="wpcf7-f6-p213406-o1" class="wpcf7" dir="ltr" lang="en-US" role="form"> </div> </div> <p>As <a href="https://www.universetoday.com/157410/bluewalker-3-satellite-launches-this-weekend-may-be-bright/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Universe Today notes</a> that’s in the same ballpark as NASA’s Echo-1 sphere launched in 1960. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Echo" target="_blank" rel="noopener">That ‘satelloon’ as</a> it was called, was also reflective, and was easy visible to the naked eye over most of Earth.</p> <p>With plans for a number of these huge satellites, ground based optical telescopes may struggle to image the night sky without disturbance.</p> <p>This is a continuation of worries from a few years ago, <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/space/spacex-astronomers-warn-over-musks-planned-satellite-constellation/">where SpaceX’s own satellite megaconstellation Starlink</a> began to affect astronomers’ work.</p> <p>The Falcon 9 rocket also included new Starlink satellites<a href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2022/05/13/spacex-passes-2500-satellites-launched-for-companys-starlink-network/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">, which brings the numbers over 2,200 active satellites</a> – which is about half the number of satellites SpaceX wants in orbit. It’s also worth pointing out that around <a href="https://dewesoft.com/daq/every-satellite-orbiting-earth-and-who-owns-them" target="_blank" rel="noopener">half of the satellites currently in orbit are Starlink’s. </a> </p> <p><a href="https://www.science.org/content/article/starlink-already-threatens-optical-astronomy-now-radio-astronomers-are-worried" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Radio astronomers</a> are also nervous. As <a href="https://www.sciencealert.com/starlink-is-being-an-absolute-nuisance-to-astronomers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Alan Duffy at the time told ScienceAlert</a> “a full constellation of Starlink satellites will likely mean the end of Earth-based microwave-radio telescopes able to scan the heavens for faint radio objects.”</p> <p>Currently, astronomers are building a group to tackle this problem called the ‘IAU Centre for the Protection of the Dark and Quiet Sky from Satellite Constellation Interference’. It’s quite a mouthful, but the problem requires not only technological fixes, but tough conversations with these technology companies to come to a solution for everyone.</p> <p>Luckily, Jeffrey Hall, director of Lowell Observatory in Arizona, US, <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/space/increasing-concerns-about-crowded-space/">told Cosmos back in 2020,</a> “neither astronomers nor space scientists are strangers to difficult problems.”</p> <p><img id="cosmos-post-tracker" style="opacity: 0; height: 1px!important; width: 1px!important; border: 0!important; position: absolute!important; z-index: -1!important;" src="https://syndication.cosmosmagazine.com/?id=213406&amp;title=The+largest+commercial+communications+array+ever+has+just+launched.+Expect+to+see+it+%26%238211%3B+it%E2%80%99s+huge+and+bright" width="1" height="1" /></p> <div id="contributors"> <p><em><a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/technology/bluewalker-launched-spacex-largest-satellite-astronomers/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">This article</a> was originally published on <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Cosmos Magazine</a> and was written by <a href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/contributor/jacinta-bowler" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jacinta Bowler</a>. Jacinta Bowler is a science journalist at Cosmos. They have a undergraduate degree in genetics and journalism from the University of Queensland and have been published in the Best Australian Science Writing 2022.</em></p> <p><em>Image: Getty Images</em></p> </div>

Technology

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"There were a lot of happy tears": New cancer drug smashes expectations

<p dir="ltr">A new cancer drug has returned phenomenal results after curing almost every patient in the trial phase. </p> <p dir="ltr">Dostarlimab, a monoclonal antibody drug which produces white blood cells, had already been approved to treat endometrial cancer in the UK.</p> <p dir="ltr">The cost of Dostarlimab sits at $11,000 (A$15,200) per 500mg dose in the US and has been given to 100 advanced endometrial cancer patients every year.</p> <p dir="ltr">It was used in the hopes that patients could avoid invasive surgery as well as chemotherapy.</p> <p dir="ltr">A trial conducted by New York’s Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center was looking into whether the drug is effective against rectal cancer tumours.</p> <p dir="ltr">The trial proved to be a success where all 18 patients went into remission and no cancer was found.</p> <p dir="ltr">“Our message is: Get tested if you have rectal cancer to see if the tumour is MMRd,” lead author of the paper Dr Luis Diaz said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“No matter what stage the cancer is, we have a trial at Memorial Sloan Kettering that may help you.”</p> <p dir="ltr">The researchers explained that no patients had received prior chemoradiotherapy or undergone surgery. </p> <p dir="ltr">“The results enabled us to omit both chemoradiotherapy and surgery and to proceed with observation alone,” they said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“The implications for quality of life are substantial, especially among patients in whom standard treatment would affect childbearing potential.”</p> <p dir="ltr">Dr Andrea Cercek said there were “a lot of happy tears” when patients were told about the success of the drug. </p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Image: Shutterstock</em></p>

Body

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New Zealand’s borders to open earlier than expected

<p dir="ltr">New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has confirmed that New Zealand’s border will be open to all visitors from July 31 - two months earlier than expected.</p> <p><span id="docs-internal-guid-dbea8701-7fff-c58d-99ec-45bddeacb5ad"></span></p> <p dir="ltr">While speaking at a Business NZ lunch in Auckland on Wednesday, Ms Ardern confirmed the new date for reopening, initially set for October, which will see all visa categories be allowed in.</p> <blockquote class="instagram-media" style="background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);" data-instgrm-captioned="" data-instgrm-permalink="https://www.instagram.com/p/CdZ_FWOsVC5/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" data-instgrm-version="14"> <div style="padding: 16px;"> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="padding: 19% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;"> </div> <div style="padding-top: 8px;"> <div style="color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;">View this post on Instagram</div> </div> <div style="padding: 12.5% 0;"> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;"> <div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: 8px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg);"> </div> </div> <div style="margin-left: auto;"> <div style="width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);"> </div> <div style="width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);"> </div> </div> </div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;"> </div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;"> </div> </div> <p style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/CdZ_FWOsVC5/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A post shared by Grounded Kiwis (@groundedkiwis)</a></p> </div> </blockquote> <p dir="ltr">Ms Ardern also announced changes to immigration, including pathways for highly skilled workers in global demand to gain residency, as reported by the <em><a href="https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-jacinda-ardern-confirms-new-zealands-borders-fully-reopen-from-july-31/XF6OWFMGGLRGXTENVOSRQKGV5U/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NZ Herald</a></em>.</p> <p dir="ltr">“New Zealand is in demand and now fully open for business,” she said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“This will be welcome news for families, businesses and our migrant communities. It also provides certainty and good preparation time for airlines  and cruise ship companies planning a return to New Zealand in the peak spring and summer seasons.”</p> <p dir="ltr">The changes will also be welcomed by the tertiary education sector - who can now welcome back international students, as well as industries suffering from worker shortages and split migrant families who need visas and have been separated for over two years.</p> <p dir="ltr"><span id="docs-internal-guid-d5a93264-7fff-db7a-b2a6-ce020df09509"></span></p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Image: Getty Images</em></p>

Domestic Travel

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Does it really empower women to expect them to make the first move?

<p>Heterosexual dating conventions have long held that men make the first move: first to flirt, first to ask out on a date, first to propose.</p> <p>What if the roles were reversed?</p> <p>That’s what one dating app, Bumble, has tried to do.</p> <p>Bumble brands itself as a <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.vanityfair.com/culture/2015/08/bumble-app-whitney-wolfe" target="_blank">feminist dating app</a> that’s designed to empower women. According to <a rel="noopener" href="https://bumble.com/" target="_blank">Bumble’s website</a>, the app was developed to “challenge the antiquated rules of dating” by requiring those who identify as women to initiate communication with men they match with.</p> <p>With over 100 million users as of 2020, <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessofapps.com/data/bumble-statistics/" target="_blank">Bumble is one of the most popular dating apps</a> on the market, and <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5FmVpQ4iO4" target="_blank">in interviews I conducted with over 100 people about online dating</a> in my <a rel="noopener" href="https://connectingdigitally.com/" target="_blank">“Connecting Digitally” study</a>, more than half reported using Bumble.</p> <p>But my research shows that Bumble, despite purporting to empower women, leaves many female users feeling frustrated and vulnerable. This disconnect can be linked in part to the ways in which many men engage with online dating apps.</p> <p><strong>When a match is meaningless</strong></p> <p>Bumble’s attempts at “<a rel="noopener" href="https://bumble.com/" target="_blank">levelling the playing field and changing the dynamics of dating</a>” and empowering users to “<a rel="noopener" href="https://bumble.com/" target="_blank">connect with confidence</a>” makes sense in theory, but not in practice.</p> <p><a rel="noopener" href="https://youtu.be/H5FmVpQ4iO4" target="_blank">Women in my study reported</a> a number of counterproductive user practices based on their own swiping experiences and conversations with male Bumble users.</p> <p>A 39-year-old female participant in my study described the frustration of making the first move and not getting any response: “So then all of a sudden you’re a match, but they would never say anything or respond to you … you wouldn’t hear from them. What’s the point? Why even bother?”</p> <p>Rather than evaluating profiles carefully and swiping “yes” on women they’re serious about, men are often <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.tdx.cat/handle/10803/670200" target="_blank">likely to swipe right based only on the profile photo</a>.</p> <p>In addition, many men approach online dating as a numbers game and practice what some call “<a rel="noopener" href="https://twitter.com/bumble/status/1139706620416425989?lang=en" target="_blank">power swiping</a>” or “<a rel="noopener" href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0265407517706419" target="_blank">shotgun swiping</a>” by saying “yes” to everyone and seeing who shows interest and matches with them. Many of them will only read a women’s profile information after matching.</p> <p>Lastly, because some men are <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3710505/What-Tinder-strategy-Men-likely-casually-swipe-right-women-match-attract-them.html" target="_blank">just swiping for the ego boost</a> of “likes,” they’ll simply delete the match rather than respond to a women’s invitation to chat.</p> <p>Women in my study often pointed out that a match was far from a guarantee of mutual interest. Unfortunately, due to “<a rel="noopener" href="https://lithub.com/swipe-right-for-loneliness-on-the-gamification-of-dating-apps/" target="_blank">the gamification of dating</a>” – the way the apps are designed to be engaging and addictive – mindless swiping is a common phenomena across all dating apps, not just Bumble.</p> <p><strong>Communication and power</strong></p> <p>For decades, language scholars have been researching how people connect – or fail to connect – <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.2307/412243" target="_blank">in conversation</a>.</p> <p>We say that the person speaking “holds the floor,” and they can wield power through choosing the topic, talking for longer periods of time and steering the conversation in certain directions.</p> <p>However, not all power is maintained through holding the floor. Not taking up a speaker’s topic in conversation, either by changing the topic or ignoring the question altogether, is another way to exercise power.</p> <p>In other words, in any conversation, it takes two to tango. <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1083-6101.2006.00312.x" target="_blank">As the authors of a study on email communication and response times put it</a>, “failure to respond or to take the floor creates a breakdown.” On dating apps, not responding to an opening message is akin to ignoring someone who’s asking you a question in a face-to-face conversation.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/442142/original/file-20220124-21-1f3lrvj.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="A video billboard reads 'Woman. Fighter. Wife. Patriot. Feminist. Mother. Hero. Justice.'" /> <em><span class="caption">Bumble, which has made empowering women a key facet of its brand, pays tribute to former Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg in an advertisement.</span> <span class="attribution"><a rel="noopener" href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/6e/07.RBG.Bumble.UnionStation.WDC.23September2020_%2850381239022%29.jpg" target="_blank" class="source">Wikimedia Commons</a>, <a rel="noopener" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/" target="_blank" class="license">CC BY-SA</a></span></em></p> <p>On Bumble, women may be given the control to take the floor first and direct the initial topic of conversation through, as Bumble terms it, “<a rel="noopener" href="https://bumble.com/en/help/how-does-messaging-work-on-bumble#:%7E:text=Users%20who%20have%20First%20Move,First%20Moves%20are%20time%2Dsensitive!" target="_blank">first move privileges</a>.” However, when men fail to respond or unmatch after receiving that opening message, the women in my study reported feeling dismissed, rejected and, ultimately, disempowered.</p> <p>In 2020, <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-01-17/for-bumble-the-future-isn-t-female-it-s-female-marketing" target="_blank">Bloomberg published an article</a> exploring Bumble’s marketing tactics and brand messaging. Though the company maintains that requiring women to message first “reduces harassment” and “creates a kinder exchange between two people,” the author of the article noted that Bumble was never able to provide tangible proof of “how Bumble was keeping women safer or leading to more equitable relationships.”</p> <p><strong>Switching poles doesn’t solve the problem</strong></p> <p>On a positive note, Bumble has become a catalyst for conversation about gender, power and communication in online dating. And while <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/love-lust-and-digital-dating-men-on-the-bumble-dating-app-arent-ready-for-the-queen-bee-120796" target="_blank">many may not be ready for women to make the first move</a>, most of the male and female Bumble users in my study <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5FmVpQ4iO" target="_blank">noted that they chose the app</a> precisely because of its philosophy of empowering women. To me, this speaks to the fact that people are ready to embrace Bumble’s goals of “<a rel="noopener" href="https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/408946-female-driven-dating-app-bumble-publishes-full-page-ad-in-the" target="_blank">shaking up outdated gender norms</a>.”</p> <p>That hasn’t stopped some men and women from decrying Bumble’s unique design as sexist. In fact, <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.bumblemessagingsettlement.com/" target="_blank">a class action lawsuit filed in 2018 accused Bumble of discriminating</a> against heterosexual male app users because the app only allows women to send messages first. Bumble denied wrongdoing, but agreed to settle in 2021 to avoid further costly litigation.</p> <p>A 37-year-old female participant in my study thought the app’s emphasis on gender was artificial and constrictive: “I don’t like it when people limit things by sex or gender. That doesn’t feel empowering to me. It just feels like they’re trying to [enact] reverse sexism.”</p> <p>By creating a situation where the right to speak and direct conversation is only given to members identifying with one gender, the work of coming up with unique and engaging opening messages falls on that group.</p> <p>Men have traditionally done more of this work. Many of them don’t exactly cherish initiating conversations with countless strangers, <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23538-3_22" target="_blank">a process that’s rife with anxiety and rejection</a>.</p> <p>For heterosexual matches on Bumble, women are now required to do the part. Yet to place the work of initiating conversation solely on one group seems to encourage passivity in the other party, which seems to only hamper healthy communication.<!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https://theconversation.com/republishing-guidelines --></p> <p><em><a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/riki-thompson-964482" target="_blank">Riki Thompson</a>, Associate Professor of Digital Rhetoric and Writing Studies, <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-washington-699" target="_blank">University of Washington</a></em></p> <p><em>This article is republished from <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/does-it-really-empower-women-to-expect-them-to-make-the-first-move-175032" target="_blank">original article</a>.</em></p> <p><em>Image: Getty Images</em></p>

Relationships

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Why the volcanic eruption in Tonga was so violent, and what to expect next

<p>The Kingdom of Tonga doesn’t often attract global attention, but a <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/459572/underwater-volcano-hunga-tonga-hunga-ha-apai-erupts-again">violent eruption of an underwater volcano</a> on January 15 has spread shock waves, quite literally, around half the world.</p> <p>The volcano is usually not much to look at. It consists of two small uninhabited islands, Hunga-Ha’apai and Hunga-Tonga, poking about 100m above sea level 65km north of Tonga’s capital Nuku‘alofa. But hiding below the waves is a massive volcano, around 1800m high and 20km wide.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/440948/original/file-20220115-27-82tzyq.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="A map of the massive underwater volcano next to the Hunga-Ha’apai and Hunga-Tonga islands." /> <span class="caption">A massive underwater volcano lies next to the Hunga-Ha’apai and Hunga-Tonga islands.</span> <span class="attribution"><span class="license">Author provided</span></span></p> <p>The Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcano has erupted regularly over the past few decades. During events in 2009 and 2014/15 hot jets of magma and steam exploded through the waves. But these eruptions were small, dwarfed in scale by the January 2022 events.</p> <p>Our <a href="https://eos.org/science-updates/new-volcanic-island-unveils-explosive-past">research</a> into these earlier eruptions suggests this is one of the massive explosions the volcano is capable of producing roughly every thousand years.</p> <p>Why are the volcano’s eruptions so highly explosive, given that sea water should cool the magma down?</p> <p>If magma rises into sea water slowly, even at temperatures of about 1200℃, a thin film of steam forms between the magma and water. This provides a layer of insulation to allow the outer surface of the magma to cool.</p> <p>But this process doesn’t work when magma is blasted out of the ground full of volcanic gas. When magma enters the water rapidly, any steam layers are quickly disrupted, bringing hot magma in direct contact with cold water.</p> <p>Volcano researchers call this “fuel-coolant interaction” and it is akin to weapons-grade chemical explosions. Extremely violent blasts tear the magma apart. A chain reaction begins, with new magma fragments exposing fresh hot interior surfaces to water, and the explosions repeat, ultimately jetting out volcanic particles and causing blasts with supersonic speeds.</p> <h2>Two scales of Hunga eruptions</h2> <p>The 2014/15 eruption created a volcanic cone, joining the two old Hunga islands to create a combined island about 5km long. We visited in 2016, and discovered these historical eruptions were merely <a href="https://eos.org/science-updates/new-volcanic-island-unveils-explosive-past">curtain raisers to the main event</a>.</p> <p>Mapping the sea floor, we discovered a hidden “caldera” 150m below the waves.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/440944/original/file-20220115-19-nplel8.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="A map of the seafloor shows the volcanic cones and caldera." /> <span class="caption">A map of the seafloor shows the volcanic cones and massive caldera.</span> <span class="attribution"><span class="license">Author provided</span></span></p> <p>The caldera is a crater-like depression around 5km across. Small eruptions (such as in 2009 and 2014/15) occur mainly at the edge of the caldera, but very big ones come from the caldera itself. These big eruptions are so large the top of the erupting magma collapses inward, deepening the caldera.</p> <p>Looking at the chemistry of past eruptions, we now think the small eruptions represent the magma system slowly recharging itself to prepare for a big event.</p> <p>We found evidence of two huge past eruptions from the Hunga caldera in deposits on the old islands. We matched these chemically to volcanic ash deposits on the largest inhabited island of Tongatapu, 65km away, and then used radiocarbon dates to show that big caldera eruptions occur about ever 1000 years, with the last one at AD1100.</p> <p>With this knowledge, the eruption on January 15 seems to be right on schedule for a “big one”.</p> <h2>What we can expect to happen now</h2> <p>We’re still in the middle of this major eruptive sequence and many aspects remain unclear, partly because the island is currently obscured by ash clouds.</p> <p>The two earlier eruptions on December 20 2021 and January 13 2022 were of moderate size. They produced clouds of up to 17km elevation and added new land to the 2014/15 combined island.</p> <p>The latest eruption has stepped up the scale in terms of violence. The ash plume is already about 20km high. Most remarkably, it spread out almost concentrically over a distance of about 130km from the volcano, creating a plume with a 260km diameter, before it was distorted by the wind.</p> <p><img src="https://cdn.theconversation.com/static_files/files/1920/2022-01_volcano_jan_13_ash%281%29.gif?1642274062" alt="" width="100%" /></p> <p>This demonstrates a huge explosive power – one that cannot be explained by magma-water interaction alone. It shows instead that large amounts of fresh, gas-charged magma have erupted from the caldera.</p> <p>The eruption also produced a <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/15/tonga-tsunami-warning-as-volcano-erupts-at-sea">tsunami throughout Tonga</a> and neighbouring Fiji and Samoa. Shock waves traversed many thousands of kilometres, were seen from space, and recorded in New Zealand some 2000km away. Soon after the eruption started, the sky was blocked out on Tongatapu, with ash beginning to fall.</p> <p>All these signs suggest the large Hunga caldera has awoken. Tsunami are generated by coupled atmospheric and ocean shock waves during an explosions, but they are also readily caused by submarine landslides and caldera collapses.</p> <p>It remains unclear if this is the climax of the eruption. It represents a major magma pressure release, which may settle the system.</p> <p>A warning, however, lies in geological deposits from the volcano’s previous eruptions. These complex sequences show each of the 1000-year major caldera eruption episodes involved many separate explosion events.</p> <p>Hence we could be in for several weeks or even years of major volcanic unrest from the Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcano. For the sake of the people of Tonga I hope not.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/175035/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" /><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https://theconversation.com/republishing-guidelines --></p> <p><span><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/shane-cronin-908092">Shane Cronin</a>, Professor of Earth Sciences, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-auckland-1305">University of Auckland</a></em></span></p> <p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-the-volcanic-eruption-in-tonga-was-so-violent-and-what-to-expect-next-175035">original article</a>.</p>

International Travel

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How COVID-19 changed the way we shop – and what to expect in 2022 and beyond

<p>COVID-19 has dramatically changed how businesses and consumers behave. We’ve seen panic buying, the rise of the “homebody economy” and a strong shift towards contactless shopping.</p> <p>As we emerge from the worst of the pandemic, it seems the right time to reflect on the most important changes in consumer behaviour we’ve seen, and to make some predictions about COVID-19’s lasting and pervasive effects on how we shop.</p> <p><strong>Pandemic purchasing</strong></p> <p>One of the first impacts of COVID-19 was supermarket shelves being repeatedly stripped of <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/a-toilet-paper-run-is-like-a-bank-run-the-economic-fixes-are-about-the-same-133065" target="_blank">toilet paper and other products</a> ahead of lockdowns.</p> <p>One debate this behaviour sparked was about how much it could be considered irrational <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/psychology-can-explain-why-coronavirus-drives-us-to-panic-buy-it-also-provides-tips-on-how-to-stop-134032" target="_blank">panic buying</a> – or if it was rational to <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.05.028" target="_blank">stockpile</a> in response to the irrational behaviour of others.</p> <p>It was a real-life lesson in game theory. Decisions that make perfect sense for individuals can add up to a bad outcome for the community.</p> <p><strong>Spending less, spending more</strong></p> <p>Spending more money at the supermarket was at least possible.</p> <p>Consumption patterns changed significantly due to closed borders, restricted shopping, stay-at-home orders and general uncertainty.</p> <p>Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows large drops in spending on transport, accommodation, recreation and entertainment services, and catering.</p> <p><strong>Individual services consumption, 2020</strong></p> <p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437167/original/file-20211213-21-yaa52g.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437167/original/file-20211213-21-yaa52g.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="Individual services consumption by select categories, 2020." /></a> <em><span class="caption">Percentage change in household services consumption by select categories per quarter 2020.</span> <span class="attribution"><a rel="noopener" href="https://www.abs.gov.au/articles/insights-household-consumption-december-quarter-2020" target="_blank" class="source">ABS, Insights into household consumption, December quarter 2020</a></span></em></p> <p>Spending on food increased marginally, and on alcohol even more. The main reasons cited for increased drinking, according <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17249189" target="_blank">to one study</a>, were stress (45.7%), increased alcohol availability (34.4%) and boredom (30.1%).</p> <p><strong>Individual goods consumption, 2020</strong></p> <p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437170/original/file-20211213-21-mpsqit.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437170/original/file-20211213-21-mpsqit.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="Individual goods consumption, 2020" /></a> <em><span class="caption">Percentage change in household goods consumption by select categories per quarter 2020.</span> <span class="attribution"><a rel="noopener" href="https://www.abs.gov.au/articles/insights-household-consumption-december-quarter-2020" target="_blank" class="source">ABS, Insights into household consumption, December quarter 2020</a></span></em></p> <p>Spending also increased on home-related electronics, <a rel="noopener" href="https://app.content.deloitte.com.au/e/er?s=1192815365&amp;lid=14989&amp;elqTrackId=BDCA277B6E6DA734D62B2FA4F09A5680&amp;elq=&amp;elqaid=3147&amp;elqat=2" target="_blank">streaming services</a>, furnishings, hardware and <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11113101" target="_blank">pet-related items</a>.</p> <p>Interest increased in traditional activities such as <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1108/BFJ-10-2020-0949" target="_blank">cooking</a>, <a rel="noopener" href="http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8857-australian-magazine-print-readership-and-cross-platform-audiences-september-2021-202111220401" target="_blank">reading</a> and <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-23/pandemic-gardening-in-times-of-crisis-will-it-continue/100462576" target="_blank">gardening</a>.</p> <p>It is too early to tell to what extent these pandemic-driven shifts will translate into permanent behavioural change. However, research <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103953" target="_blank">published last month</a>, based on surveying 7,500 households in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain, supports the likelihood of at least some long-term sectoral shifts in consumer behaviour.</p> <p><strong>Predictions of a shopping splurge</strong></p> <p>As <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/no-more-lockdowns-international-borders-could-open-sooner-perrottet-20211007-p58y7x.html" target="_blank">restrictions relax</a>, some marketing experts are predicting “<a rel="noopener" href="https://www.thedrum.com/news/2021/09/17/australian-consumers-go-revenge-spending-sprees-once-covid-19-restrictions-are" target="_blank">revenge spending</a>” – shopping sprees with abandon.</p> <p>Certainly many higher-income households have the money to splash out on a holiday, or new car, or home renovation, with Australians banking an estimated <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/consumers-sitting-on-140b-post-pandemic-war-chest-20210730-p58eh3" target="_blank">A$140 billion in extra savings</a> during the pandemic.</p> <p>Other research, such as the National Australia Bank’s quarterly <a rel="noopener" href="https://business.nab.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/NAB-Consumer-Sentiment-Survey-Q3-2021.pdf" target="_blank">Consumer Sentiment Survey</a>, suggests the pandemic has engendered greater caution. In its most recent survey, 37% said they were mindful or careful of where they spent their money (42% of women and 33% of men). In terms of purchasing influences, 43% nominated supporting local businesses, compared with 15% environmental issues and 14% social concerns such as labour practices.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437363/original/file-20211213-27-kcqcn8.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="In NAB's consumer sentiment survey 43% said their purchases were influenced by the desire to support local business." /> <em><span class="caption">In NAB’s consumer sentiment survey 43% said their purchases were influenced by the desire to support local business.</span> <span class="attribution"><span class="source">Shutterstock</span></span></em></p> <p>Some <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/will-the-end-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-usher-in-a-second-roaring-20s-159017" target="_blank">have wondered</a> if, in the wake of COVID-19, we are about to experience another “Roaring Twenties” – emulating that period of economic prosperity and cultural dynamism in the 1920s following the deprivations of the first world war and the “Spanish flu” epidemic.</p> <p>The circumstances are not exactly analogous. But new technologies and changes in habits are likely to drive several long-term changes in the way we shop.</p> <p><strong>Going contactless</strong></p> <p>Our desire to reduce physical contact accelerated contactless payment methods. Research (from the Netherlands) suggests this will, for most, <a rel="noopener" href="https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/dnbdnbwpp/701.htm" target="_blank">be a permanent change</a>, accelerating a steady decline in the use of cash for shopping.</p> <p><strong>ATM cash withdrawals using debit cards</strong></p> <p><a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/393749/original/file-20210407-13-vei244.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/393749/original/file-20210407-13-vei244.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="" /></a> <em><span class="caption">Monthly, seasonally adjusted.</span> <span class="attribution"><a rel="noopener" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/xls/c04hist.xlsx" target="_blank" class="source">Reserve Bank of Australia</a></span></em></p> <p>Technology enabling payments using smartphones, such as supermarkets introducing a way to pay by <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/retail/woolworths-coles-and-big-banks-introduce-new-way-to-pay/news-story/78aa9368f17330cf5d7b0c8299317c94" target="_blank">scanning a QR code</a>, will contribute to this shift.</p> <p>Ways to buy things without ever having to step inside a shop – such as curbside pick-up and home delivery – should also continue. In 2021 we’ve seen a number of startup businesses promising grocery deliveries <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.9news.com.au/national/start-up-services-grocery-delivery-15-minutes-sydney-melbourne/d392902b-1458-4b4f-ad66-7979a58a7475" target="_blank">in 15 minutes</a>.</p> <p><strong>“Omni” experiences</strong></p> <p>Increasingly our buying behaviour will be shaped by what marketing experts call <a rel="noopener" href="https://nielseniq.com/global/en/insights/analysis/2020/its-time-to-think-omnichannel-shopper-not-just-omnichannel/" target="_blank">omnichannel shopping</a> – a fancy word meaning using a variety of experiences to make a purchase.</p> <p>You might, for instance, go into a store to try out headphones, then go online to read third-party reviews and compare prices from different retailers.</p> <p>Technologies such as <a rel="noopener" href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jretconser.2021.102720" target="_blank">augmented reality</a> will facilitate this trend. For example, IKEA’s <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.ikea.com/au/en/customer-service/mobile-apps/say-hej-to-ikea-place-pub1f8af050" target="_blank">Place</a> app allows you to see how furnishing will into your space.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/437212/original/file-20211213-25-1y3ewzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="IKEA's 'Place' app." /> <em><span class="caption">IKEA’s ‘Place’ app.</span> <span class="attribution"><span class="source">IKEA</span></span></em></p> <p>More and more what were once physical experiences will have their digital variants, from attending university to having an appointment with a health professional to taking a <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UymdMZwF2kE" target="_blank">tour of the British Museum</a> or <a rel="noopener" href="https://store.steampowered.com/app/407710/The_Grand_Canyon_VR_Experience/" target="_blank">exploring the Grand Canyon</a>. Though these cannot replicate the real experience, they will be an increasingly common way to “try before you buy”.</p> <p>The future of shopping will gradually merge the digital and physical. But whatever changes, some things will remain constant: the human desire to make experiences convenient, fun and meaningful.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/172973/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" /><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https://theconversation.com/republishing-guidelines --></p> <p><em><a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/adrian-r-camilleri-200583" target="_blank">Adrian R. Camilleri</a>, Senior Lecturer in Marketing, <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-technology-sydney-936" target="_blank">University of Technology Sydney</a></em></p> <p><em>This article is republished from <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a rel="noopener" href="https://theconversation.com/how-covid-19-changed-the-way-we-shop-and-what-to-expect-in-2022-and-beyond-172973" target="_blank">original article</a>.</em></p>

Money & Banking

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Culture vultures may live longer

<div class="copy"> <p>Those who think enjoying a good dose of culture is <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/arty-farty" target="_blank">arty-farty</a> could be missing out, with a new study linking arts appreciation to living longer.</p> <p><span style="font-family: inherit;">Researchers at University College London, UK, found that people who regularly go to the theatre, concerts, the opera, museums or art galleries have a lower risk of dying than those who refrain.</span></p> <p>This adds to <a rel="noopener" href="http://www.euro.who.int/en/publications/abstracts/what-is-the-evidence-on-the-role-of-the-arts-in-improving-health-and-well-being-a-scoping-review-2019" target="_blank">evidence</a> linking art engagement with physical health and wellbeing.</p> <p><span style="font-family: inherit;">The “universality of art and the strong emotional responses it induces”, leads some researchers to suggest it has evolutionary benefits, write Daisy Fancourt and Andrew Steptoe, although others question whether art is “an evolutionary parasite”.</span></p> <p>Fancourt and Steptoe argue that creativity and imagination have been linked to increased survival throughout human <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19900185" target="_blank">evolution</a> and that arts engagement enhances cognition, empathy, social perception and emotional intelligence.</p> <p><span style="font-family: inherit;">The arts could also give life a greater sense of meaning, reduce risk taking behaviours, get people out and reduce sedentary behaviour and loneliness – all of which are associated with better health outcomes.</span></p> <p>Titled “The art of life and death”, the study, <a rel="noopener" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l6377" target="_blank">published</a> in the journal BMJ, followed more than 6000 adults aged 50 and older for 14 years in the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (<a rel="noopener" href="https://www.elsa-project.ac.uk/" target="_blank">ELSA</a>).</p> <p><span style="font-family: inherit;">Participants self-reported arts engagement at the study’s inception, along with a comprehensive range of demographic, behavioural, socio-economic and health factors. Mortality data was sourced from National Health Service records.</span></p> <p>While cognition, mental health and physical activity were protective, arts involvement was independently linked to lower mortality after these variables were factored in, and this persisted through several analyses.</p> <p>Overall, people who engaged in the arts once or twice a year had a 14% lower chance of dying than those who never got involved, while enjoying culture more regularly was associated with a 31% lower risk.</p> <p>The study’s strengths include its size and scope, although the researchers acknowledge that it only recorded arts engagement at one time point and it was observational.</p> <p>In a related <a rel="noopener" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l6774" target="_blank">commentary</a>, Nicola Gill and co-authors from Canterbury Christ Church University, UK, note that people with lung disease, depression or loneliness, who could derive the most benefits, were least likely to engage in the arts.</p> <p><span style="font-family: inherit;">“Work must now be done to ensure that the health benefits of these activities are accessible to those who would benefit most,” they write – including children.</span></p> <p>“The current study should add weight to growing concerns about the decline in arts subjects and music in schools and universities.”</p> <em>Image credits: Getty Images    <!-- Start of tracking content syndication. Please do not remove this section as it allows us to keep track of republished articles --> <img id="cosmos-post-tracker" style="opacity: 0; height: 1px!important; width: 1px!important; border: 0!important; position: absolute!important; z-index: -1!important;" src="https://syndication.cosmosmagazine.com/?id=34527&amp;title=Culture+vultures+may+live+longer" alt="" width="1" height="1" /> <!-- End of tracking content syndication -->          </em></div> <div id="contributors"> <p><em>This article was originally published on <a rel="noopener" href="https://cosmosmagazine.com/people/society/culture-vultures-may-live-longer/" target="_blank">cosmosmagazine.com</a> and was written by Natalie Parletta. </em></p> </div>

Art

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Prince Harry and Meghan Markle "expected to join Queen" at 95th birthday

<div class="post_body_wrapper"> <div class="post_body"> <div class="body_text redactor-styles redactor-in"> <p>The Queen has invited Prince Harry and Meghan Markle to her 95th birthday celebration in the first royal reunion since the pair left the British royal family.</p> <p>The Queen, 94, is set to get "back to business" after being forced to cancel a range of royal engagements due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p> <p>She invited the pair to join her for Trooping The Colour on June 12th to mark her official birthday, according to<span> </span><em>The Sunday Times</em>.</p> <p>Royal aides told the newspaper as the event is both an official and a “family occasion”, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are expected to join the Queen at the event.</p> <blockquote style="background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);" class="instagram-media" data-instgrm-captioned="" data-instgrm-permalink="https://www.instagram.com/p/Byc2TbYHm1g/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" data-instgrm-version="13"> <div style="padding: 16px;"> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;"></div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;"></div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;"></div> </div> </div> <div style="padding: 19% 0;"></div> <div style="display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;"></div> <div style="padding-top: 8px;"> <div style="color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;">View this post on Instagram</div> </div> <p style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;" rel="noopener" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/Byc2TbYHm1g/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" target="_blank">A post shared by The Royal Family (@theroyalfamily)</a></p> </div> </blockquote> <p>Last year's Trooping the Colour ceremony was a laidback affair and for the first time in 125 years, the ceremony took place at Windsor Castle where she continues to isolate with Prince Philip.</p> <p>Prince Harry and Meghan Markle were due to meet the Queen in March for their 12-month review, but this meeting was cancelled due to coronavirus restrictions.</p> <p>It is currently unclear whether the current meeting will go ahead due to coronavirus cases spiking in the UK, with 3 million citizens tested and 81,000 deaths due to the virus.</p> </div> </div> </div>

Relationships

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Royal baby: Zara Tindall expecting third child!

<p><span>In happy news, Zara Tindall is pregnant with her third child.</span><br /><br /><span>The royal’s husband Mike Tindall, 42, announced the wonderful news on a podcast he hosts, <em>The Good, The Bad &amp; The Rugby.</em></span><br /><br /><span>Her Majesty and Prince Philip are both “delighted” by the announcement.</span><br /><br /><span>Mike said: “It’s been a good week for me, had a little scan last week. Third Tindall on its way.”</span><br /><br /><span>He revealed that while he is thankful for his two gorgeous girls, Mia Grace, 6, and Lena Elizabeth, 2 – he would love nothing more than to welcome a baby boy into the world.</span><br /><img style="width: 500px; height: 281.25px;" src="https://oversixtydev.blob.core.windows.net/media/7839160/zara-tindall-4.jpg" alt="" data-udi="umb://media/2bef1ba258544fac8d50458d1300ebd0" /></p> <p><em>Mia Tindall, 6</em></p> <p><span>He said: “I’d like a boy this time, I’ve got two girls, I would like a boy.</span><br /><br /><span>“I’ll love it whether a boy or a girl, but please be a boy.”</span><br /><br /><span>The former rugby star also joked he is keen to name his next child after COVID-19: “We’re not sure what to do … Covi or Covina … I don’t know where to go with names.”</span><br /><br /><span>The couple have previously opened up about their torment at suffering two miscarriages.</span><br /><br /><span>Mike said: “Z is very good, always careful because of things that have happened in the past, and really looking forward to it.”</span><br /><br /><span>The baby is the second royal tot due to make an appearance in 2021.</span></p> <p><img style="width: 500px; height: 281.25px;" src="https://oversixtydev.blob.core.windows.net/media/7839161/zara-tindall-3.jpg" alt="" data-udi="umb://media/ba0aac3508a04199921bf1e698118189" /></p> <p><em>Lena Tindall, 2</em><br /><br /><span>The Queen and Prince Philip currently have seven great-grandkids.</span><br /><br /><span>A Buckingham Palace spokesperson said: “Her Majesty and the Duke of Edinburgh are aware and delighted.”</span><br /><br /><span>Zara spoke about her miscarriage in the past, admitting: “you don’t talk about it because it’s too raw”.</span><br /><br /><span>She added: “But as with everything, time’s a great healer.”</span><br /><br /><span>Zara and Mike lost a baby in December 2016 after announcing the pregnancy just a month before.</span><br /><br /><span>She later suffered another miscarriage before her daughter Lena was born in June 2018.</span><br /><br /><span>“I had to go through having the baby because it was so far along. I then had another miscarriage really early on,” she said in an interview in<em> The Sunday Times.</em></span></p>

Family & Pets

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Queen expected to step down and pass on duties to Prince Charles

<p>The Queen is expected to step down and pass on all her duties to Prince Charles in 2021, a royal expert has extraordinarily claimed.</p> <p>Robert Jobson spoke on True Royalty TV‘s<span> </span><em>The Royal Beat<span> </span></em>where she expressed she believes the Queen will retire from royal life in 2021.</p> <p>The biographer said: “I still firmly believe when the Queen becomes 95, that she will step down”</p> <p><em>Newsweek‘s</em> royal reporter Jack Royston disagreed however, saying: “I think she won’t want to.</p> <p>“But realistically she will get to a point where she has handed over everything to Charles and then how do you look your son in the eye and tell him he is not going to be King?”</p> <p>Mr Jobson has previously told the Daily Mail: “I understand the Queen has given the matter considerable thought and believes that, if she is still alive at 95, she will seriously consider passing the reign to Charles.</p> <p>“Her Majesty is mindful of her age and wants to make sure when the time comes, the transition of the Crown is seamless.”</p> <p>Mr Jobson made another grand claim about Princess Diana, saying Princess Diana was “more powerful than the Queen” before her 1995 <em>Panorama</em> interview.</p> <p>He said: “That period between (Charles and Diana‘s) separation announcement, (Diana) actually was on the ascendancy of getting everything she wanted.</p> <p>“But she did this (Panorama) and I think she thought she was more powerful than the Queen. The Queen thought enough was enough and the shutters came down.”</p>

Retirement Life

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Apps may soon be able to predict your life expectancy, but do you want to know?

<p><em>When will I die?</em></p> <p>This question has endured across cultures and civilisations. It has given rise to a plethora of religions and spiritual paths over thousands of years, and more recently, <a href="https://apps.apple.com/us/app/when-will-i-die/id1236569653">some highly amusing apps</a>.</p> <p>But this question now prompts a different response, as technology slowly brings us closer to accurately predicting the answer.</p> <p>Predicting the lifespan of people, or their “Personal Life Expectancy” (PLE) would greatly alter our lives.</p> <p>On one hand, it may have benefits for policy making, and help optimise an individual’s health, or the services they receive.</p> <p>But the potential misuse of this information by the government or private sector poses major risks to our rights and privacy.</p> <p>Although generating an accurate life expectancy is currently difficult, due to the complexity of factors underpinning lifespan, emerging technologies could make this a reality in the future.</p> <p><strong>How do you calculate life expectancy?</strong></p> <p>Predicting life expectancy is not a new concept. <a href="http://www.bbc.com/travel/story/20170807-living-in-places-where-people-live-the-longest">Experts do this</a> at a population level by classifying people into groups, often based on region or ethnicity.</p> <p>Also, tools such as <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-23534-9">deep learning</a> and <a href="https://mipt.ru/english/news/scientists_use_ai_to_predict_biological_age_based_on_smartphone_and_wearables_data">artificial intelligence</a> can be used to consider complex variables, such as biomedical data, to predict someone’s biological age.</p> <p>Biological age refers to how “old” their body is, rather than when they were born. A 30-year-old who smokes heavily may have a biological age closer to 40.</p> <p><a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7080/6/3/74/htm">Calculating a life expectancy reliably</a> would require a sophisticated system that considers a breadth of environmental, geographic, genetic and lifestyle factors – <a href="https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/publications/publishing.nsf/Content/oatsih-hpf-2012-toc%7Etier1%7Elife-exp-wellb%7E119">all of which have influence</a>.<span class="attribution"><a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/image-vector/healthy-lady-run-away-angel-death-329261456" class="source"></a></span></p> <p>With <a href="https://builtin.com/artificial-intelligence/machine-learning-healthcare">machine learning</a> and artificial intelligence, it’s becoming feasible to analyse larger quantities of data. The use of deep learning and cognitive computing, such as with <a href="https://www.ibm.com/watson-health">IBM Watson</a>, helps doctors make more accurate diagnoses than using human judgement alone.</p> <p>This, coupled with <a href="https://www.cio.com/article/3273114/what-is-predictive-analytics-transforming-data-into-future-insights.html">predictive analytics</a> and increasing computational power, means we may soon have systems, or even apps, that can calculate life expectancy.</p> <p><strong>There’s an app for that</strong></p> <p>Much like <a href="https://www.mdanderson.org/for-physicians/clinical-tools-resources/clinical-calculators.html">existing tools</a> that predict cancer survival rates, in the coming years we may see apps attempting to analyse data to predict life expectancy.</p> <p>However, they will not be able to provide a “death date”, or even a year of death.</p> <p>Human behaviour and activities are so unpredictable, it’s almost impossible to measure, classify and predict lifespan. A personal life expectancy, even a carefully calculated one, would only provide a “natural life expectancy” based on generic data optimised with personal data.</p> <p>The key to accuracy would be the quality and quantity of data available. Much of this would be taken directly from the user, including gender, age, weight, height and ethnicity.</p> <p>Access to real-time sensor data through fitness trackers and smart watches could also monitor activity levels, heart rate and blood pressure. This could then be coupled with lifestyle information such as occupation, socioeconomic status, exercise, diet and family medical history.</p> <hr /> <p><em> <strong> Read more: <a href="https://theconversation.com/your-local-train-station-can-predict-health-and-death-54946">Your local train station can predict health and death</a> </strong> </em></p> <hr /> <p>All of the above could be used to classify an individual into a generic group to calculate life expectancy. This result would then be refined over time through the analysis of personal data, updating a user’s life expectancy and letting them monitor it.</p> <p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/308303/original/file-20191230-11891-nswi58.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="" /> <span class="caption">This figure shows how an individual’s life expectancy might change between two points in time (F and H) following a lifestyle improvement, such as weight loss.</span></p> <p><strong>Two sides of a coin</strong></p> <p>Life expectancy predictions have the potential to be beneficial to individuals, health service providers and governments.</p> <p>For instance, they would make people more aware of their general health, and its improvement or deterioration over time. This may motivate them to make healthier lifestyle choices.</p> <p>They could also be used by insurance companies to provide individualised services, such as how some car insurance companies use <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/dec/16/motoring-myths-black-boxes-telematics-insurance">black-box technology</a> to reduce premiums for more cautious drivers.</p> <p>Governments may be able to use predictions to more efficiently allocate limited resources, such as social welfare assistance and health care funding, to individuals and areas of greater need.</p> <p>That said, there’s a likely downside.</p> <p>People <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2017/11/the-existential-slap/544790/">may become distressed</a> if their life expectancy is unexpectedly low, or at the thought of having one at all. This raises concerns about how such predictions could impact those who experience or are at risk of mental health problems.</p> <p>Having people’s detailed health data could also let insurance companies more accurately profile applicants, <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-08/fitness-tracker-used-to-set-health-insurance-premiums/11287126">leading to discrimination against groups or individuals</a>.</p> <p>Also, pharmaceutical companies could coordinate targeted medical campaigns based on people’s life expectancy. And governments could choose to tax individuals differently, or restrict services for certain people.</p> <p><strong>When will it happen?</strong></p> <p>Scientists have been working on ways to <a href="https://towardsdatascience.com/what-really-drives-higher-life-expectancy-e1c1ec22f6e1">predict human life expectancy</a> for many years.</p> <p>The solution would require input from specialists including demographers, health scientists, data scientists, IT specialists, programmers, medical professionals and statisticians.</p> <p>While the collection of enough data will be challenging, we can likely expect to see advances in this area in the coming years.</p> <p>If so, issues related to data compliance, as well and collaboration with government and state agencies will need to be carefully managed. Any system predicting life expectancy would handle highly sensitive data, raising ethical and privacy concerns.</p> <p>It would also attract cybercriminals, and various other security threats.</p> <p>Moving forward, the words of Jurassic Park’s Dr Ian Malcolm spring to mind:</p> <blockquote> <p><em>Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could, they didn’t stop to think if they should.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/129068/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" /></em><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http://theconversation.com/republishing-guidelines --></p> </blockquote> <p><em><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/james-jin-kang-903030">James Jin Kang</a>, Lecturer, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/edith-cowan-university-720">Edith Cowan University</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/paul-haskell-dowland-382903">Paul Haskell-Dowland</a>, Associate Dean (Computing and Security), <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/edith-cowan-university-720">Edith Cowan University</a></em></p> <p><em>This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/dont-die-wondering-apps-may-soon-be-able-to-predict-your-life-expectancy-but-do-you-want-to-know-129068">original article</a>.</em></p>

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What changes you can expect from Prince Charles when he becomes king

<p><strong>The once and future king</strong></p> <p>Unlike his mother, who unexpectedly became queen at just 25 years old when her father, King George VI, died suddenly, 71-year-old Prince Charles has spent his entire life in preparation to wear the crown. He’s the longest waiting heir apparent and will be the oldest British monarch to ever take the throne – and it’s still uncertain when that will happen. Although Queen Elizabeth II is 93 years old and the <a href="https://www.royal.uk/her-majesty-the-queen">longest-reigning</a> British monarch ever, longevity runs in her family: her father may have died young, but her mother lived to the age of 101. But with recent <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/01/world/europe/prince-charles-andrew-queen.html">reports</a> asserting Prince Charles is now taking charge of the monarchy more than ever, could he become king sooner than expected? We explore the different scenarios that may play out when the beloved Queen dies – or maybe even before.</p> <p><strong>The Queen may still be alive when Prince Charles becomes king</strong></p> <p>Rumours have been swirling in the <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4785166/Is-Queen-preparing-abdicate.html">British press</a> that as the Queen becomes older, she may pass the crown to her son, who’s fully prepared to take on all the responsibilities of the monarchy while she is still alive. This would be called a ‘regency’. But, there are many reasons <a href="https://www.readersdigest.com.au/culture/13-reasons-queen-elizabeth-ii-will-never-give-up-the-throne">Queen Elizabeth will never give up the throne</a>.</p> <p>“I think it is unlikely that the Queen will officially retire, or that the Prince of Wales will formally assume the title of regent,” says Carolyn Harris, PhD, historian and author of <em>Raising Royalty: 1000 Years of Royal Parenting</em>. “In a radio broadcast on her 21st birthday, she vowed to devote her whole life, whether it was long or short, to the service of her people.”</p> <p>Although <a href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/constitution-unit/research/monarchy-church-and-state/accession-and-coronation/planning-next-accession-and-coronation#Q11">comparison</a> has been made to other older European monarchs who have abdicated in recent years, Harris points out they were sworn into office through secular installation ceremonies rather than the Queen’s religious coronation ceremony in 1953, which contained sacred oaths. Even practically speaking, “the Queen is sovereign of 16 Commonwealth realms, and not all of them have a formal provision for a regency,” Harris says. “A regency might complicate the appointment of new Governors General in some of the Commonwealth realms.”</p> <p><strong>If the Queen is incapacitated, Prince Charles will become regent</strong></p> <p>But in the event that the Queen cannot actually act as queen, such as in the case of severe illness of mind or body, a regency with Prince Charles as Regent would be formed. According to the <a href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/constitution-unit/research/monarchy-church-and-state/accession-and-coronation/planning-next-accession-and-coronation#Q11">Constitution Unit</a> of the University of London’s (UCL) School of Public Policy, medical evidence is required, and three people out of the following have to agree to declare the sovereign is incapacitated: the Queen’s consort (her husband, Prince Philip), the Lord Chancellor, the Speaker of the House of Commons, the Lord Chief Justice, and the Master of the Rolls.</p> <p>But, this isn’t the most probable scenario. Instead, what will likely happen as the Queen ages is, “The Queen will retain her title and certain royal duties, while her son the Prince of Wales assumes a greater number of her public engagements and increased decision-making power behind the scenes,” Harris says. “The Prince of Wales already undertakes overseas travel to the Commonwealth on the Queen’s behalf, and in the coming years, he will assume more of the Queen’s duties in the United Kingdom.”</p> <p><strong>Upon Queen Elizabeth’s death, Prince Charles will immediately become king</strong></p> <p>So, in all probability, the Queen will retain the crown until she passes. Here’s <a href="https://www.readersdigest.com.au/true-stories-lifestyle/drama/16-things-will-happen-once-queen-elizabeth-ii-dies">what will happen when Queen Elizabeth dies</a>: At the moment of her death, Prince Charles will become king. An ‘<a href="https://www.royal.uk/accession">Accession Council</a>’, consisting of the group of advisors to the sovereign known as the Privy Council, will convene at St James’s Palace, London, to formally recognise the transition and to proclaim Charles as the monarch. The King will then take an <a href="https://privycouncil.independent.gov.uk/privy-council/the-accession-council/">oath</a> to, interestingly enough, preserve the <a href="https://www.royal.uk/queens-relationship-churches-england-and-scotland-and-other-faiths">Church of Scotland</a> (this is because the sovereign is only the head of the Church of England, not the Presbyterian Church of Scotland). Parliament will then be recalled for its members to take oaths of allegiance.</p> <p><em>Written by Tina Donvito. This article first appeared in </em><a href="https://www.readersdigest.com.au/food-home-garden/15-foods-you-should-never-keep-in-your-pantry?slide=allhttps://www.readersdigest.com.au/food-home-garden/15-foods-you-should-never-keep-in-your-pantry?slide=all"><em>Reader’s Digest</em></a><em>. For more of what you love from the world’s best-loved magazine, </em><span><em> </em></span><a href="http://readersdigest.innovations.co.nz/c/readersdigestemailsubscribe?utm_source=over60&amp;utm_medium=articles&amp;utm_campaign=RDSUB&amp;keycode=WRN93V"><em>here’s our best subscription offer.</em></a></p>

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Richard Gere expecting second baby with wife Alejandra Silva at the age of 70

<p>Richard Gere is expecting his second child with wife Alejandra Silva.</p> <p>The 70-year-old actor and the 36-year-old publicist recently welcomed their first firstborn Alexander in February.</p> <p>According to <a rel="noopener" href="https://www.hellomagazine.com/healthandbeauty/mother-and-baby/2019110480098/richard-gere-wife-alejandra-second-baby/" target="_blank"><em>HOLA!</em></a>, Silva is currently three months into her pregnancy, with the baby expected to arrive next spring.</p> <p>The couple has yet to comment on the report.</p> <p>The actor is also a father to Homer James Jigme, whom he shares with former wife Carey Lowell, while Silva is a mother to Albert Friedland, whom she shares with ex-husband Govind Friedland.</p> <p>Gere and Silva tied the knot at the actor’s ranch outside New York City in April 2018.</p> <p>Silva confirmed her first pregnancy in September last year with an Instagram photo showing the Dalai Lama blessing her bump a month after reports emerged she was expecting.</p> <blockquote style="background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);" class="instagram-media" data-instgrm-permalink="https://www.instagram.com/p/BnzfqiCl-0D/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" data-instgrm-version="12"> <div style="padding: 16px;"> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;"></div> <div style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;"> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;"></div> <div style="background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;"></div> </div> </div> <div style="padding: 19% 0;"></div> <div style="display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;"></div> <div style="padding-top: 8px;"> <div style="color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;">View this post on Instagram</div> </div> <p style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a style="color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;" rel="noopener" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/BnzfqiCl-0D/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading" target="_blank">A post shared by Despierta America (@despiertamerica)</a> on Sep 16, 2018 at 3:58pm PDT</p> </div> </blockquote> <p>“Getting blessings for our precious to come… We couldn’t announce it before telling HH Dalai Lama,” she wrote on the caption.</p>

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